II. Why Now: The Technology Convergence
Three technologies matured in 2023-2024:
1. AI Reached Financial Competence
Modern LLMs can:
- Process transaction data at scale
- Identify patterns across many variables (not just 5 FICO categories)
- Provide explanations in natural language
- Operate at ~$0.01 per interaction
This enables:
- Financial copilot that provides genuine value
- Credit models that consider more signals
- Dramatically lower operational costs
- Better user experience than spreadsheets
Reality check: AI isn't magic. It's best at:
- Pattern recognition in large datasets
- Routine Q&A and advice
- Automating manual processes
It still needs:
- Human oversight for edge cases
- Continuous training on new data
- Regulatory compliance frameworks
2. Zero-Knowledge Proofs Became Usable
You can now prove facts about your finances without revealing the underlying data:
- "I have >$5,000 in savings" (without showing account balance)
- "I pay bills on time" (without exposing transaction history)
- "I'm in top 20% of savers" (without revealing identity)
This solves:
- Privacy (data never leaves your device)
- Portability (proofs work across services)
- Composability (build reputation over time)
Reality check: ZK proofs are:
- Computationally expensive (but getting cheaper)
- Complex to implement correctly
- Still early for consumer applications
- Our edge: willing to invest in this infrastructure
3. Smart Contracts Can Handle Real Value
Modern blockchains (Solana, Base, etc.) now offer:
- Thousands of transactions per second
- Less than $0.01 per transaction
- Sub-second finality
- Fiat on/off-ramps (Circle, Bridge)
This enables:
- Transparent loan terms (code is the contract)
- Automated payments
- Community governance
- No central point of failure
Reality check: Smart contracts are:
- Not a panacea (still need legal wrapper)
- Require careful auditing
- Limited by oracle dependencies
- But genuinely better for transparency
For the first time, these three technologies combine to enable:
- Financial infrastructure that costs 10x less to operate
- Credit scoring that considers more than 5 variables
- Community ownership that actually works
- Global access without traditional bank infrastructure